Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.980813 12.307268 13.799904 15.618190 17.792840 20.335370 23.570656
2025-03-23 9.201060 10.870866 12.900449 15.596323 19.158486 23.818936 30.584006
2025-03-30 7.928190 9.670725 11.891907 15.010939 19.417686 25.660747 35.670047
2025-04-06 6.970744 8.699175 10.979681 14.317372 19.282124 26.777255 39.839461
2025-04-13 6.277083 7.979496 10.289868 13.790122 19.231162 27.919722 44.273251
2025-04-20 6.271916 8.178651 10.870071 15.153773 22.257854 34.616125 60.943541
2025-04-27 6.015278 7.989386 10.856947 15.592188 23.845981 39.223568 75.626728
2025-05-04 5.563255 7.474139 10.300335 15.078385 23.681983 40.468157 83.275711
2025-05-11 5.371081 7.324618 10.283142 15.444392 25.158355 45.375945 102.894295
2025-05-18 5.081378 7.003497 9.964170 15.248182 25.524346 47.992356 117.784681
2025-05-25 4.827787 6.719116 9.678258 15.073097 25.896223 50.723128 135.076123
2025-06-01 4.623879 6.497834 9.475883 15.023034 26.512549 54.232872 158.231834
2025-06-08 4.348664 6.157325 9.066958 14.579607 26.294257 55.756906 176.175676
2025-06-15 4.168428 5.958831 8.884314 14.549710 26.999569 60.105461 212.851223
2025-06-22 3.922451 5.638450 8.467972 14.018693 26.463411 60.702377 231.504488
2025-06-29 3.681067 5.313132 8.022363 13.388222 25.600282 60.080671 243.009153
2025-07-06 3.481863 5.047969 7.666766 12.908165 25.036142 60.286652 261.134156
2025-07-13 3.552898 5.236012 8.127815 14.148386 28.993843 77.428274 455.194221
2025-07-20 3.497018 5.204399 8.186238 14.546185 30.869250 88.356314 658.301404
2025-07-27 3.331941 4.976179 7.864692 14.079937 30.268729 88.957417 731.466947
2025-08-03 3.278514 4.939252 7.899822 14.412131 32.023606 100.887603 1104.094223
2025-08-10 3.166552 4.793904 7.718948 14.234086 32.238297 105.874069 1405.183434
2025-08-17 3.063797 4.660299 7.552936 14.075135 32.488151 111.298551 1834.852068